Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.032333 0.038119 0.044130 0.050801 0.057964 0.065390 0.073641
2025-12-07 0.024231 0.032595 0.041826 0.052592 0.064649 0.077601 0.092438
2025-12-14 0.019347 0.029293 0.040848 0.054852 0.071018 0.088803 0.109585
2025-12-21 0.015190 0.025968 0.039132 0.055648 0.075209 0.097151 0.123190
2025-12-28 0.013682 0.025593 0.040665 0.060011 0.083301 0.109738 0.141401
2026-01-04 0.010089 0.021853 0.037579 0.058444 0.084135 0.113768 0.149691
2026-01-11 0.008147 0.020069 0.036745 0.059442 0.087857 0.121008 0.161537
2026-01-18 0.006364 0.018181 0.035545 0.059800 0.090663 0.127063 0.171919
2026-01-25 0.004933 0.016560 0.034526 0.060247 0.093467 0.133030 0.182126
2026-02-01 0.003618 0.014816 0.033140 0.060071 0.095388 0.137860 0.190931
2026-02-08 0.002105 0.012138 0.030072 0.057414 0.094010 0.138582 0.194769
2026-02-15 0.001209 0.010330 0.028117 0.056125 0.094262 0.141194 0.200776
2026-02-22 0.000770 0.009504 0.027755 0.057175 0.097712 0.147953 0.212040
2026-03-01 0.000466 0.008857 0.027638 0.058567 0.101636 0.155344 0.224135
2026-03-08 0.000302 0.008588 0.028146 0.060854 0.106741 0.164208 0.238023
2026-03-15 0.000118 0.007842 0.027697 0.061674 0.109858 0.170571 0.248869
2026-03-22 0.000125 0.008418 0.029752 0.066269 0.118061 0.183324 0.267493
2026-03-29 0.000002 0.006947 0.027736 0.064617 0.117778 0.185373 0.273060
2026-04-05 NaN 0.006428 0.027516 0.065669 0.121136 0.191995 0.284192
2026-04-12 NaN 0.005760 0.026894 0.066046 0.123540 0.197386 0.293801
2026-04-19 NaN 0.005175 0.026360 0.066517 0.126044 0.202885 0.303531
2026-04-26 NaN 0.004478 0.025454 0.066331 0.127598 0.207144 0.311711
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003275 0.023037 0.063531 0.125389 0.206491 0.313751